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HURRICANE JOYCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1400
0300Z FRI SEP 29 2000

INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGESS OF
JOYCE. 
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.0N  47.0W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 260 DEGREES AT 12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE  60SE  60SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.0N  47.0W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.1N  46.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 10.7N  48.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 10.7N  51.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 10.9N  53.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.0N  47.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 11.5N  55.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z 13.5N  59.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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