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HURRICANE JOYCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1400
1500Z WED SEP 27 2000
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N  39.6W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT 13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.4N  39.6W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.4N  38.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 12.5N  41.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 12.5N  44.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 12.5N  46.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.4N  39.6W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 12.5N  48.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 13.0N  52.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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