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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1200
0300Z WED SEP 20 2000
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR THE PROVINCES OF THE ISLE OF YOUTH...HAVANA...THE
CITY OF HAVANA...AND PINAR DEL RIO.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N  81.7W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N  81.7W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N  81.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 21.1N  83.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 22.7N  85.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 24.5N  86.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N  81.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 26.5N  86.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 30.0N  85.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
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