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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1200
1500Z SAT SEP 16 2000
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ANTIGUA...ANGUILLA...
BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...NEVIS...ST. KITTS...ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND
ST. EUSTATIUS.  
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N  57.3W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N  57.3W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  56.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 16.2N  59.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 16.5N  63.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 16.8N  66.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N  57.3W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 17.0N  69.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 17.5N  74.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
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