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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1200
0300Z SAT SEP 16 2000
 
AT 11 PM AST...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DUTCH NETHERLAND ANTILLIES HAS
ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST.
EUSTATIUS.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  54.0W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  54.0W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  53.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 16.2N  56.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 16.4N  58.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  25SE  25SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 16.5N  61.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  25SE  25SW  75NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N  54.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 16.5N  65.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 16.5N  71.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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