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TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1000
2100Z FRI SEP 15 2000
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.2N  69.2W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST NORTHEAST OR  70 DEGREES AT 12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE 120SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 175SE 150SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.2N  69.2W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.0N  69.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 30.9N  67.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE 120SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 33.5N  64.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 36.5N  60.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...125NE 125SE 100SW  50NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.2N  69.2W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 42.0N  55.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 53.5N  48.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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