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TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1000
2100Z THU SEP 14 2000

...COR FOR INITIAL THROUGH 24 HR WIND RADII
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.2N  73.0W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 140 DEGREES AT  3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE 175SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.2N  73.0W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.3N  73.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 29.0N  72.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 30.0N  68.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 33.0N  65.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  60NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.2N  73.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 37.0N  62.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 47.0N  57.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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