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TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0800
0900Z SAT SEP 02 2000
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N  49.8W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE  40SE  20SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  40SE  20SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.1N  49.8W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  49.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 16.7N  51.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  40SE  20SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 17.6N  53.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  40SE  20SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 18.4N  56.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  40SE  20SW  90NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.1N  49.8W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 19.0N  58.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 20.0N  63.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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