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TROPICAL STORM DEBBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0700
1500Z WED AUG 23 2000
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WARNING FOR THE NORTH COAST OF CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF
GUANTANAMO...HOLGUIN...AND LAS TUNAS.
 
HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
BAHAMAS...THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AND FOR THE NORTH COAST OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.
 
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA.
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WATCH FOR THE NORTH COAST OF CUBA FOR THE FOR THE PROVINCES OF
CAMAGUAY AND CIEGO DE AVILA...AND ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF CUBA
FOR THE PROVINCES OF SANTIAGO DE CUBA AND GRANMA.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT OR
HAITI NORTH OF PORT AU PRINCE.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N  70.0W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT.......120NE  25SE   0SW 100NW.
34 KT.......150NE  40SE  30SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 150SE 100SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N  70.0W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N  69.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 20.3N  72.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...120NE  30SE  30SW 120NW.
34 KT...150NE  50SE  50SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 21.2N  75.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT...120NE  60SE  40SW 120NW.
34 KT...150NE  70SE  70SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 22.3N  76.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT...120NE  60SE  40SW 120NW.
34 KT...150NE  75SE  75SW 150NW.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
WITH DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE
WARNED AREA.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N  70.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 23.5N  78.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT...100NE  60SE  60SW 100NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 25.5N  81.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...100NE  60SE  60SW 100NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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