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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ROSA DISCUSSION NUMBER  19
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1 AM PST WED NOV 08 2000

IT HAS BEEN DIFFICULT TO LOCATE THE CENTER ON INFRARED IMAGERY...BUT
BASED ON SSM/I IMAGERY AND SYNOPTIC DATA...ROSA APPEARS TO HAVE
MOVED SLIGHTLY TO THE EAST OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK.  NONETHELESS...THE
CENTER APPEARS TO BE INLAND...A SHORT DISTANCE NORTHEAST OF PUERTO
ANGEL.  MOTION IS ABOUT 040/7.  THE OFFICIAL FORECAST SHOWS A NE TO
NNE MOTION AT ABOUT THE SAME SPEED.  THIS IS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT
WITH THE GFDN AND STATISTICAL/DYNAMICAL GUIDANCE.

WITH THE CENTER INLAND...THE CYCLONE IS WEAKENING TO DEPRESSION
STRENGTH AND ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE LOWERED.  SINCE THE
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING OVER THE ROUGH TERRAIN OF
MEXICO TODAY...IT IS ASSUMED THAT ROSA WILL DISSIPATE BEFORE IT CAN
EMERGE INTACT INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO.
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     08/0900Z 15.8N  96.2W    30 KTS...INLAND
12HR VT     08/1800Z 16.6N  95.5W    25 KTS...INLAND...DISSIPATING
24HR VT     09/0600Z 17.7N  94.7W    25 KTS...INLAND...DISSIPATING
36HR VT     09/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
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