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TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORMAN DISCUSSION NUMBER   8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM PDT THU SEP 21 2000
 
VISIBLE IMAGERY CONFIRMS THAT A SMALL CIRCULATION STILL EXISTS NEAR
THE MEXICAN COAST...AND WHILE THE CONVECTION IS POORLY ORGANIZED...
THERE IS ENOUGH TO WARRANT HOLDING ON TO NORMAN A WHILE LONGER.  THE
INITIAL MOTION IS NOT AS FAST AS PREVIOUSLY THOUGHT...NOW 300/3.  AS
A RESULT...THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS NOT AS FAST AS THE PREVIOUS
PACKAGE BUT FOLLOWS THE SAME PATH OFFSHORE.  UPPER-LEVEL CONDITIONS
WOULD SUGGEST THE OPPORTUNITY FOR SOME RESTRENGTHENING IF THE CENTER
CLEARS THE COAST.

THE THREAT OF FLOODING FROM EXTREMELY HEAVY RAINS CONTINUES FROM
PUNTO SAN TELMO TO PUERTO VALLARTA.
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     21/2100Z 20.3N 105.4W    25 KTS...INLAND
12HR VT     22/0600Z 20.5N 105.8W    25 KTS
24HR VT     22/1800Z 21.3N 106.7W    30 KTS
36HR VT     23/0600Z 22.4N 107.4W    30 KTS
48HR VT     23/1800Z 23.5N 108.0W    35 KTS
72HR VT     24/1800Z 26.0N 108.5W    25 KTS...INLAND
 
 
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