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TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORMAN DISCUSSION NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 AM PDT THU SEP 21 2000
 
THE CENTER IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE BUT MAY HAVE MOVED OR REFORMED
CLOSER TO THE COAST...AND I AM LOATH TO DISSIPATE THE SYSTEM WITHOUT
CONCLUSIVE EVIDENCE IN VISIBLE IMAGERY.

THE BEST INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 300/8...AND IF A CIRCULATION
EMERGES BACK INTO THE WARM WATERS THEN SOME REGENERATION COULD
OCCUR.  THE OFFICIAL FORECAST PROVIDES A 72 HR TRACK ON THE
ASSUMPTION THAT NORMAN WILL MOVE OFFSHORE.  IF THIS OCCURS... A NEW
TROPICAL STORM WATCH WOULD LIKELY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY. 
HOWEVER...VISIBLE IMAGERY MAY SOON INDICATE THAT THERE IS NOTHING
LEFT.

THE THREAT OF MAJOR FLOODING FROM EXTREMELY HEAVY RAINS CONTINUES.
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     21/1500Z 20.2N 105.3W    25 KTS...INLAND
12HR VT     22/0000Z 20.7N 106.3W    25 KTS
24HR VT     22/1200Z 21.7N 107.3W    30 KTS
36HR VT     23/0000Z 22.9N 108.0W    30 KTS
48HR VT     23/1200Z 24.5N 108.5W    35 KTS
72HR VT     24/1200Z 28.5N 108.5W    20 KTS...INLAND
 
 
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