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TROPICAL STORM LANE DISCUSSION NUMBER  30
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM PDT TUE SEP 12 2000
 
SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE STILL 45 KT.  A QUIKSCAT PASS THIS
MORNING SUGGESTS THAT THE MAXIMUM WINDS ARE ABOUT 40 KT...AND THE
LATTER IS THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY FOR THIS ADVISORY.  WATER
TEMPERATURES ARE DOWN TO ABOUT 22C BUT THERE HAS BEEN A MODEST
INCREASE IN CONVECTION OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS.  THE CYCLONE
SHOULD BE DISSIPATING OVER INCREASINGLY COLDER WATERS IN 24 HOURS OR
SO.
 
THE INITIAL MOTION IS STILL 310/10...AND THE TRACK FORECAST
REASONING IS BASICALLY UNCHANGED.  THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS CLOSE TO
THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY AND THE SHALLOW LAYER BAM.  

MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH LANE IS SPREADING INTO PORTIONS OF
CALIFORNIA.
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     12/2100Z 26.0N 123.0W    40 KTS
12HR VT     13/0600Z 27.1N 124.2W    30 KTS
24HR VT     13/1800Z 28.9N 125.0W    25 KTS...DISSIPATING
36HR VT     14/0600Z 31.0N 125.0W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING
48HR VT     14/1800Z 33.0N 124.0W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING
72HR VT     14/1800Z...DISSIPATED... 
 
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