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TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER  2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 PM PDT THU AUG 31 2000

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE DEPRESSION CONTINUES POORLY
ORGANIZED AND WIND ESTIMATES REMAIN ABOUT 25 KNOTS. INTERMITTENT
CLUSTERS OF DEEP CONVECTION ARE DEVELOPING OVER THE CENTER
BUT ARE BEING REMOVED BY SHEAR.  NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN INTENSITY
IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE SHEAR IS FORECAST TO RELAX
AND THE WATER IS WARM..THEREFORE...THE DEPRESSION COULD REACH
TROPICAL STORM STATUS WITHIN THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS. 

THE DEPRESSION HAS BEEN MOVING LITTLE AND THE STEERING CURRENTS ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN WEAK.  THEREFORE A GENERAL SLOW WEST-NORTHWEST
TRACK IS INDICATED DURING THE NEXT 3 DAYS.  
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     01/0300Z 13.9N 133.5W    25 KTS
12HR VT     01/1200Z 14.0N 133.9W    30 KTS
24HR VT     02/0000Z 14.5N 134.5W    30 KTS
36HR VT     02/1200Z 15.0N 135.0W    35 KTS
48HR VT     03/0000Z 16.0N 136.0W    35 KTS
72HR VT     04/0000Z 17.0N 137.0W    35 KTS
 
 
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