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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FABIO DISCUSSION NUMBER  13
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 AM PDT SUN AUG 06 2000
 
FORECASTER NAME

FABIO HAS NOT CHANGED SIGNIFICANTLY SINCE YESTERDAY. IT CONTINUES AS
A WELL DEFINED SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS WITH INTERMITTENT PATCHES OF DEEP
CONVECTION.  FABIO IS SOUTH OF HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WHICH IS FORCING
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE TO MOVE SLOWLY TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST.
BECAUSE FABIO IS MOVING TOWARD WARMER WATERS AND THE SHEAR COULD
RELAX...THERE IS A CHANCE OF SOME REINTENSIFICATION. 
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     06/1500Z 15.4N 125.1W    30 KTS
12HR VT     07/0000Z 15.0N 126.0W    30 KTS
24HR VT     07/1200Z 14.5N 127.0W    30 KTS
36HR VT     08/0000Z 14.5N 129.0W    35 KTS
48HR VT     08/1200Z 14.5N 131.0W    40 KTS
72HR VT     09/1200Z 14.5N 133.5W    45 KTS
 
 
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