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WTPA41 PHFO 040900
TCDCP1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANIEL DISCUSSION NUMBER  48
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
11 PM HST THU AUG 03 2000
 
LITTLE CHANGE IN DANIEL OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. SOME WEAK
CONVECTION 100 NM TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER BEING SHEARED TOWARD
THE SOUTH SOUTHWEST. DANIEL HAS BECOME A VERY SHALLOW SYSTEM WITH
WARM CLOUD TOPS SURROUNDING THE CENTER MAKING CLASSIFICATION ON IT
VERY DIFFICULT. DVORAK ESTIMATE WAS BASED ON PATTERN AND MET T
NUMVERS OF 1.5 ON WHICH THE FINAL T WAS BASED. DANIEL'S TRACK
FOLLOWS AROUND THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE...VERY
CLOSE TO THE PAST OFFICIAL AND THE BAM SHALLOW.
 
FARRELL
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     04/0900Z 32.8N 169.7W    30 KTS
12HR VT     04/1800Z 34.4N 170.8W    30 KTS
24HR VT     05/0600Z 36.8N 171.2W    25 KTS
36HR VT     05/1800Z 39.5N 170.9W    25 KTS...DISSIPATING
48HR VT     06/0600Z 42.0N 170.4W    DISSIPATED

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