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WTPA41 PHFO 031500
TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANIEL DISCUSSION NUMBER  45
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
5 AM HST THU AUG 03 2000
 
CONVECTION IN THE CIRCULATION OF DANIEL HAS ALL BUT COLLAPSED AT THE
SYSTEM MOVES OVER COOLER WATERS FAR TO OUR NORTH. WITHOUT THIS
CONVECTION THE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN RAPIDLY AND IS EXPECTED TO
DISSIPATE BY 48 HOURS. THE TRACK IS KEPT CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS TRACK
AND NOT FAR TO THE WEST OF THE BETA ADVECTION SHALLOW MODEL AND THE
GFDL. 
 
FARRELL
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     03/1500Z 30.3N 167.3W    30 KTS
12HR VT     04/0000Z 31.8N 169.3W    30 KTS
24HR VT     04/1200Z 34.3N 171.1W    25 KTS
36HR VT     05/0000Z 37.2N 172.0W    25 KTS
48HR VT     05/1200Z 40.3N 171.8W    DISSIPATING
72HR VT     06/1200Z 46.3N 170.0W    DISSIPATING