HOME	PRODUCTS	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

WTPA41 PHFO 021500
TCDCP1
TROPICAL STORM DANIEL DISCUSSION NUMBER  41
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
5 AM HST WED AUG 02 2000
 
THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER OF DANIEL APPEARS TO BE MOVING BACK
UNDERNEATH THE CONVECTIVE OVERCAST AND IS STILL BEING PULLED
NORTHWESTWARD BY CONVECTION NOW ALONG ITS NORTHERN AND WESTERN
FLANK. THIS CONVECTION CONTINUES TO BE SUPPORTED IN TURN BY AN UPPER
LEVEL LOW TO THE WEST OF DANIEL. THIS LOW HAS STIRRED UP A SURFACE
VORTEX BENEATH IT AND DANIEL IS NOW EXPECTED TO MOVE ON A MORE
NORTHWESTERLY TRACK UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THIS UPPER LOW AND
SURFACE VORTEX. DANIEL IS MOVING OVER COOLER WATERS...AND THE UPPER
LEVEL WINDS OVER THE ASSOCIATED CONVECTION ARE FORECAST TO DECREASE
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THEREFORE FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST FOR
DANIEL.

FARRELL
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     02/1500Z 26.0N 161.5W    45 KTS
12HR VT     03/0000Z 27.1N 163.5W    40 KTS
24HR VT     03/1200Z 28.3N 166.0W    40 KTS
36HR VT     04/0000Z 29.8N 168.7W    35 KTS
48HR VT     04/1200Z 31.4N 170.9W    35 KTS
72HR VT     05/1200Z 35.2N 175.1W    30 KTS