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WTPA41 PHFO 020900
TROPICAL STORM DANIEL DISCUSSION NUMBER  40
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
11 PM HST TUE AUG 01 2000
 
THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER OF DANIEL REMAINS EXPOSED AND IS
STILL BEING PULLED NORTHWESTWARD BY CONVECTION ALONG ITS NORTHERN
FLANK. THIS CONVECTION CONTINUES TO BE SUPPORTED IN TURN BY AN UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH TO THE WEST OF DANIEL. THIS TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO
IMPACT DANIEL THROUGH 24 HOURS. BEYOND THAT TIME THE CONVECTION WILL
LIKELY SUBSIDE AS DANIEL MOVES OVER COOLER WATERS AND THE TROUGH
LOSES STRENGTH. AT THAT TIME DANIEL IS LIKLEY TO TAKE A MORE
WESTERLY TRACK OUT TO 72 HOURS AND WEAKEN BELOW TROPICAL STORM
STRENGTH.
 
FARRELL
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     02/0900Z 25.1N 160.1W    45 KTS
12HR VT     02/1800Z 26.0N 161.8W    40 KTS
24HR VT     03/0600Z 27.2N 164.1W    35 KTS
36HR VT     03/1800Z 28.2N 166.7W    30 KTS
48HR VT     04/0600Z 29.1N 169.6W    30 KTS
72HR VT     05/0600Z 29.9N 175.6W    25 KTS