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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 PM PDT SAT JUL 22 2000
 
THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 290/15...PERHAPS A LITTLE FASTER. 
SINCE THERE IS LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION...THE MOTION SHOULD BE MOST
INFLUENCED BY LOW LEVEL STEERING WHICH SHOULD CONTINUE A MOSTLY
WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

THE DEPRESSION IS ALREADY OVER RATHER COLD WATER....24 DEG C...AND
THE FORECAST TRACK CONTINUES MOVING IT OVER COLDER WATER.  SO THE
LACK OF DEEP CONVECTION IS NOT UNEXPECTED AND DISSIPATION IS LIKELY
IN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO.

FFORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     23/0300Z 21.0N 118.5W    30 KTS
12HR VT     23/1200Z 21.7N 120.8W    25 KTS
24HR VT     24/0000Z 22.5N 123.8W    20 KTS
36HR VT     24/1200Z 23.2N 126.9W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING
48HR VT     25/0000Z DISSIPATED 
 
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