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TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOTTA DISCUSSION NUMBER  28
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 AM PDT SUN JUN 25 2000
 
ALTHOUGH IT IS DIFFICULT TO SEE ON INFRARED IMAGERY...IT APPEARS
THAT THE MIDDLE AND HIGH CLOUDS HAVE MOVED TO THE NORTH OF THE LOW
LEVEL CENTER...LEAVING IT EXPOSED AND MOVING A LITTLE SLOWER AND
LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY.  THE FORECAST TRACK CALLS FOR A
CONTINUATION OF THE INITIAL MOTION OF 300/08 FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

THE EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CENTER ALLOWS THE SATELLITE INTENSITY
ESTIMATES TO FALL BELOW STORM STRENGTH.  CARLOTTA IS DOWNGRADED TO A
DEPRESSION AND THE REMNANT LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION SHOULD QUICKLY
DISSIPATE OVER COLD WATER.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     25/0900Z 24.1N 117.7W    30 KTS
12HR VT     25/1800Z 24.7N 118.7W    25 KTS...DISSIPATING
24HR VT     26/0600Z 25.3N 119.8W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING
36HR VT     26/1800Z 26.0N 121.0W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING
48HR VT     27/0600Z...DISSIPATED
  
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