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HURRICANE KEITH DISCUSSION NUMBER 28
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT THU OCT 05 2000
RECON SEVERAL HOURS AGO FOUND 700 MB WINDS OF 85 KT...WHICH SUPPORTS
A 75 KT SURFACE WIND ESTIMATE. I HAVE ASSUMED THAT THE DEEPENING
WAS NOT QUITE FINISHED IN GOING WITH 80 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY.
LITTLE ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS LIKELY AS THE CENTER IS ONLY A
FEW HOURS FROM THE COAST.
THE CURRENT MOTION ESTIMATE IS 315/10...A LITTLE TO THE RIGHT AND
SLOWER THAN EARLIER. THIS SUGGESTS THAT THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF
THE HURRICANE HAS WEAKENED A LITTLE AS EXPECTED YESTERDAY. NO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN TRACK IS ANTICIPATED PRIOR TO LANDFALL.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 05/1500Z 22.3N 97.5W 80 KTS
12HR VT 06/0000Z 23.3N 98.4W 75 KTS...INLAND
24HR VT 06/1200Z 24.8N 99.8W 30 KTS...DISSIPATING INLAND
36HR VT 07/0000Z 26.5N 101.5W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING INLAND
48HR VT 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED
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