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HURRICANE LENNY ADVISORY NUMBER  24
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST FRI NOV 19 1999
 
...LENNY STATIONARY AND WEAKENING NEAR ST. BARTHELEMEY AND ST.
MAARTEN...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR DUTCH ST. MAARTEN...
FRENCH ST. MARTIN...ST.BARTHELEMEY...ANGUILLA...SABA...ST.
EUSTATIUS...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...MONTSERRAT...ANTIGUA...AND
BARBUDA.
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LENNY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  62.8 WEST OR JUST NORTH OF THE
ISLAND OF ST. BARTHELEMEY. THIS IS ALSO JUST EAST OF ST. MAARTEN.
 
LENNY IS CURRENTLY NEARLY STATIONARY. A SLOW EAST-NORTHEAST MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER TODAY. WITH THIS SLOW MOTION...THE CENTER
OF LENNY WILL LIKELY BE NEAR ST. BARTHELEMEY...ST. MAARTEN...AND
ANGUILLA FOR MUCH OF THE DAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...160
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  THIS KEEPS LENNY A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE
ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE.  SUSTAINED WINDS STRONGER
THAN 100 MPH COULD BE EXPERIENCED IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. SOME FURTHER
WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 145 MILES...230 KM.  REPORTS FROM ST. MAARTEN INDICATE THE
WESTERN EYEWALL IS VERY NEAR THE ISLAND...WITH RAPID CHANGES IN WIND
SPEED OCCURRING AS THE EYE WOBBLES.
 
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS  982 MB...29.00 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN
MOUNTAINOUS REGIONS...ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE HURRICANE.  THESE
RAINS CAN PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FT ABOVE NORMAL...ACCOMPANIED BY
DANGEROUS LARGE BATTERING WAVES...IS EXPECTED NEAR THE CENTER OF THE
HURRICANE.
 
REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...18.1 N... 62.8 W.  MOVEMENT...
NEARLY STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH.  MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE... 982 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM
AST.
 
BEVEN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.
 
 
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