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TROPICAL STORM LENNY ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM EST SUN NOV 14 1999
 
AT 4 PM EST...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA IS ISSUING A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH FOR JAMAICA.  TROPICAL
STORM OR HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO AFFECT THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF HAITI IN ABOUT 36 HOURS...OR EARLY TUESDAY.
 
AT 4 PM EST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LENNY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  78.9 WEST OR ABOUT 175
MILES...285 KM...SOUTHWEST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA.
 
LENNY IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR  6 MPH ... 9 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LENNY COULD BECOME A HURRICANE TONIGHT OR MONDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  85 MILES
...140 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  988 MB...29.18 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG THE PATH OF THE
STORM AND COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.  AT
THIS TIME...SOME OF THE HEAVIERE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS OCCURRING
OVER JAMAICA.

STRONG ONSHORE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CAUSE STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2
TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF JAMAICA.
 
REPEATING THE 4 PM EST POSITION...16.4 N... 78.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST NEAR  6 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 988 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 7 PM EST FOLLOWED BY A COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM EST.
 
LAWRENCE
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.
 
 
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