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TROPICAL STORM JOSE ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST FRI OCT 22 1999

...JOSE NEARLY STATIONARY...EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWARD LATER
TODAY...
 
ALL INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL
WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
 
A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR BERMUDA
LATER TODAY.
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOSE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  66.0 WEST OR ABOUT 120 MILES
...195 KM...NORTH OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO. 
 
JOSE HAS BEEN MEANDERING FOR THE PAST FEW HOURS BUT A GENERAL
NORTHWARD TRACK SHOULD BEGIN TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS CONFINED TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.  NO SIGNIFICANT
CHANGE IN STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES...230 KM
TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  992 MB...29.29 INCHES.

A FEEDER BAND ASSOCIATED WITH JOSE IS PRODUCING SHOWERS AND A FEW
SQUALLS OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS. 

REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...20.2 N... 66.0 W.  MOVEMENT...
NEARLY STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE... 992 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 PM AST.
 
AVILA
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT4 AND WMO HEADER WTNT74 KNHC.
 
 
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