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HURRICANE IRENE ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SUN OCT 17 1999
 
...CORRECT 5 PM TO 5 AM IN WARNINGS SECTION...

...RAINBANDS OF IRENE SPREADING INTO THE CAROLINAS...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SAVANNAH GEORGIA TO CAPE
HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT NORTH OF CAPE HATTERAS TO
THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING ALBEMARLE SOUND.
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED
SOUTH OF ST AUGUSTINE BEACH FLORIDA.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS
NOW IN EFFECT SOUTH OF SAVANNAH GEORGIA TO ST AUGUSTINE BEACH
FLORIDA.
 
ALL INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST SHOULD EXERCISE
CAUTION UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  79.9 WEST OR ABOUT 150 MILES SOUTH
OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA.
 
IRENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR  9 MPH...AND A GRADUAL TURN TO
THE NORTHEAST AND A FASTER FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  75 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. 
LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  90 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 255
MILES. A NOAA BUOY NEAR THE GRAYS REEF MARINE SANCTUARY OFF THE
GEORGIA COAST RECENTLY REPORTED 47 MPH WINDS WITH A GUST TO 59 MPH.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS  982 MB...29.00 INCHES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER VALUES IN BAYS...IS POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF
WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE OVER PORTIONS OF THE
WARNING AREA IN AREAS WITH ONSHORE WINDS.
 
ADDITIONAL RAINS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...
ARE ASSOCIATED WITH IRENE.  GIVEN THE SATURATED CONDITIONS...
ESPECIALLY IN NORTH CAROLINA...EVEN MODEST ADDITIONAL RAINS COULD
PRODUCE SERIOUS FLOODING.  SEE STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES.
 
REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...30.7 N... 79.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR  9 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 982 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM
EDT.
 
BEVEN/GUINEY
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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