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HURRICANE IRENE ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SAT OCT 16 1999
 
...IRENE MOVING OFFSHORE OF THE EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST...

AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED
NORTH OF FERNANDINA BEACH FLORIDA TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF JUPITER INLET
FLORIDA TO EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA.
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT NORTH OF
EDISTO BEACH TO CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO
SOUND.
 
TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED ALONG THE FLORIDA
EAST COAST FROM JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BIMINI AND GRAND BAHAMA
ISLAND.
 
ALL INTEREST ELSEWHERE ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST SHOULD EXERCISE
CAUTION UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  80.2 WEST OR ABOUT 15 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF FT. PIERCE FLORIDA.
 
IRENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH...AND A
GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  75 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME
FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  70 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES. VERO BEACH FLORIDA REPORTED A
GUST TO 63 MPH DURING THE PAST HOUR.
 
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES.
 
A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS STILL
POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW.
 
ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS...ARE LIKELY NEAR THE PATH OF IRENE.
 
REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...27.4 N... 80.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 75 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 986 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM
EDT.
 
BEVEN/GUINEY
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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