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BULLETIN
HURRICANE IRENE ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT FRI OCT 15 1999
 
...CENTER OF IRENE OVER KEY WEST FLORIDA...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY
AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO THE ANCLOTE KEYS...INCLUDING ALL OF
THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE DRY TORTUGAS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM
FLORIDA CITY TO SOUTH OF FLAGLER BEACH ON THE FLORIDA EAST COAST AND
FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST
FROM NORTH OF THE ANCLOTE KEYS TO YANKEETOWN.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BIMINI...GRAND
BAHAMA...AND THE ABACO ISLANDS.
 
INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD CONTINUE
TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRENE.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  81.6 WEST...VERY NEAR KEY WEST
AND 100 MILES SOUTH OF NAPLES.
 
IRENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR  8 MPH...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT  24 HOURS.  ON THIS
TRACK THE CENTER OF IRENE WILL REACH THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST
THIS EVENING.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  75 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME
INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS POSSIBLE PRIOR TO LANDFALL.  SOMBRERO KEY
RECENTLY REPORTED GUSTS TO 79 MPH.   
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  45 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  987 MB...29.14 INCHES.
 
A STORM SURGE OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS EXPECTED IN
THE WARNING AREA OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA...AND 2 TO 4 FEET IN THE
FLORIDA KEYS AND FLORIDA BAY.  THERE ARE REPORTS THAT HIGHWAY U.S.1
ON LOWER MATECUMBE KEY IS UNDER WATER.

ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS...ARE ASSOCIATED WITH IRENE.

THERE IS A RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA
AND THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY. 
 
REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...24.7 N... 81.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR  8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 75 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 987 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM
EDT.
 
FRANKLIN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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