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HURRICANE GERT ADVISORY NUMBER  46
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST WED SEP 22 1999

...GERT EXPECTED TO PASS NEARBY THE AVALON PENINSULA... 
 
STORM AND HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
PORTIONS OF THE MARITIME AREAS SOUTH AND EAST OF NEWFOUNDLAND.  
SEE STATEMENTS FROM THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTER.
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GERT WAS LOCATED 
NEAR LATITUDE 41.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  57.0 WEST OR ABOUT 415
MILES...670 KM...SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF ST. JOHNS NEWFOUNDLAND.
 
GERT IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 28 MPH...44 KM/HR
...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ON THIS TRACK...GERT SHOULD PASS NEAR THE AVALON PENINSULA EARLY
THURSDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST AND GERT IS EXPECTED TO BECOME
EXTRATROPICAL ON THURSDAY.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 230 MILES...370 KM.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  975 MB...28.79 INCHES.
 
HEAVY RAINS ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE AVALON PENINSULA.
 
REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...41.3 N... 57.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 28 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...
85 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER 
AT 11 PM AST.
 
AVILA
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT4 AND WMO HEADER WTNT74 KNHC.

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