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HURRICANE GERT ADVISORY NUMBER  38
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST MON SEP 20 1999

...HURRICANE GERT CONTINUES NORTH NORTHWESTWARD...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GERT WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  62.9 WEST OR ABOUT 280 MILES...
450 KM...SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.
 
GERT IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR  9 MPH...15 KM/HR
...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120 MPH...195 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 260 MILES...415 KM.

STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 5 FEET ARE POSSIBLE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE
BATTERING WAVES OVER PORTIONS OF BERMUDA.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  948 MB...27.99 INCHES.
 
REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...28.6 N... 62.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR  9 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
...120 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 948 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 
11 PM AST.
 
GROSS
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT4 AND WMO HEADER WTNT74 KNHC.
 
 
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