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HURRICANE FLOYD ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT WED SEP 15 1999

...HURRICANE HEADS TOWARD THE CAROLINAS...
 
AT 5 PM EDT...A HURRICANE WARNING IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD AND IS NOW
IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF FERNANDINA BEACH FLORIDA TO CHINCOTEAGUE
VIRGINIA INCLUDING PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS AND THE CHESAPEAKE
BAY SOUTH OF SMITH POINT.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD AND IS
NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF CHINCOTEAGUE TO SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY
INCLUDING NORTHERN CHESAPEAKE BAY...THE POTOMAC BASIN AND DELAWARE
BAY.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD AND IS
NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF SANDY HOOK TO THE MERRIMAC RIVER
MASSACHUSETTS INCLUDING LONG ISLAND SOUND.
 
INTERESTS ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST SOUTH OF FERNANDINA BEACH
SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLOYD WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  79.0 WEST OR ABOUT 215 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA.
 
FLOYD IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 17 MPH AND A GRADUAL TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SLIGHT
WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE LANDFALL IN THE PREDAWN HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 230 MILES...370 KM.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  949 MB...28.02 INCHES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 7 TO 11 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE EXPECTED NEAR
AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST.  EVEN HIGHER
FLOOD LEVELS ARE POSSIBLE AT THE HEADS OF BAYS...ESTUARIES AND
RIVERS. 
 
HEAVY SURF ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. EAST COAST
NORTHWARD TO CHATHAM MASSACHUSETTS.  REFER TO STATEMENTS ISSUED BY
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
 
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE
PATH OF THE HURRICANE.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF NORTH
CAROLINA AND SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA.
  
REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...31.3 N... 79.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 17 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...115 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 949 MB.
 
INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 7 PM EDT AND 9 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE
ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT.
 
LAWRENCE
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
  
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