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TROPICAL STORM FLOYD ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST WED SEP 08 1999

...FLOYD ON A WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK... 
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLOYD WAS
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  53.6 WEST OR ABOUT
500 MILES...800 KM...EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.
 
FLOYD IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.  FLOYD IS EXPECTED TO PASS TO THE NORTH OF THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS...HOWEVER...ANY DEVIATION TO THE LEFT OF THE TRACK...COULD
RESULT IN A POTENTIAL THREAT TO THE NORTHERNMOST LEEWARD ISLANDS. 
THEREFORE...INTERESTS IN THE EXTREME NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FLOYD.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE IS SCHEDULED TO BE IN THE
AREA IN A FEW HOURS AND WILL DETERMINE THE INTENSITY.  STRENGTHENING
IS FORECAST AND FLOYD WILL LIKELY BECOME A HURRICANE IN A DAY OR SO.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
 
REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...16.7 N... 53.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 
60 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 AM AST...THURSDAY.
 
AVILA
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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