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TROPICAL STORM DENNIS ADVISORY NUMBER  49
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SAT SEP 04 1999
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SURF CITY NORTH
CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO CHINCOTEAGUE VIRGINIA...INCLUDING PAMLICO AND
ABLEMARLE SOUNDS AND THE ENTIRE CHESAPEAKE BAY INCLUDING THE TIDAL
POTOMAC.  WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE LOWERED ON SUNDAY MORNING.
 
A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT NORTH OF CHINCOTEAGUE VIRGINIA TO
LITTLE EGG INLET NEW JERSEY.
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DENNIS WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  77.2 WEST.  THIS
POSITION IS ABOUT 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF NEW BERN NORTH CAROLINA.
 
DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR  9 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON SUNDAY WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR  50 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  WEAKENING IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES FROM THE
CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  985 MB...29.09 INCHES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER LEVELS AT THE HEADS OF BAYS ARE EXPECTED OVER
PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA.  LARGE AND DANGEROUS SWELLS ASSOCIATED
WITH DENNIS ARE CONTINUING TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE U.S. EAST
COAST.  FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ...SEE STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES.
 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS SHOW AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN
OVER PORTIONS OF NORTH CAROLINA AND VIRGINIA.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5
TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ...ARE LIKELY ALONG THE
PATH OF DENNIS.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA AND SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA TONIGHT.
 
REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...35.2 N... 77.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR  9 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 985 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM
EDT...SUNDAY.
 
LAWRENCE
 
NO STRIKE PROBABILITIES ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY.
 
 
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