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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DENNIS ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT TUE AUG 31 1999

...CORRECTED HURRICANE TO TROPICAL STORM...
 
...DENNIS DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM...WATCHES AND WARNINGS
EXTENDED WESTWARD...

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE
WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA TO CHINCOTEAGUE
VIRGINIA INCLUDING PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE SOUNDS AND SOUTHERN
CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT.
 
A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM CHINCOTEAGUE VIRGINIA TO GREAT
EGG INLET NEW JERSEY.
 
ALTHOUGH DENNIS HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL STORM...ANY SHORT
TERM INTENSIFICATION COULD BRING THE SYSTEM BACK TO HURRICANE
STRENGTH. THEREFORE...THE HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT. THE
HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE LOWERED ON WEDNESDAY IF DENNIS SHOWS A MORE
DEFINITE WEAKENING TREND.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DENNIS WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  73.7 WEST OR ABOUT 105
MILES EAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.
 
DENNIS IS DRIFTING ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE WEST...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON WEDNESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  70 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. 
LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES
...335 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 987 MB...29.15 INCHES.
 
ONSHORE WINDS IN THE WARNING AREA HAVE BEEN PRODUCING STORM SURGE
FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...LARGE SWELLS
ASSOCIATED WITH DENNIS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AFFECTING PORTIONS
OF THE U.S. EAST COAST.  SEE STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICES.
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA.
 
REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...35.2 N... 73.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...DRIFTING WEST.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH.  MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE...987 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM
EDT...WEDNESDAY.
 
BEVEN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT5 AND WMO HEADER WTNT75 KNHC.
 
 
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