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BULLETIN
HURRICANE BRET ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT SAT AUG 21 1999

...BRET CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN AFFECT FROM TUXPAN MEXICO NORTHWARD TO
BAFFIN BAY TEXAS.  ALL WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED SOUTH
OF TUXPAN MEXICO.

ALL INTERESTS ALONG THE TEXAS COAST SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF HURRICANE BRET DURING THE WEEKEND.
 
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BRET
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  94.7 WEST
OR ABOUT 280 MILES...450 KM...SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS
 
BRET IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR  7 MPH...11 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 115 MILES...185 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  980 MB...28.94 INCHES.
 
THE HEAVIEST RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH BRET WILL LIKELY REMAIN OFFSHORE
TODAY. HOWEVER...RAIN BANDS SPREADING ONTO THE COAST IN THE WATCH
AREA COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES...ESPECIALLY
IN MOUTAINOUS AREAS.
 
REPEATING THE 4 AM CDT POSITION...22.7 N... 94.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR  7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 90 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 980 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 7 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 AM
CDT.
 
JARVINEN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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