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HURRICANE LENNY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   9A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1 PM EST MON NOV 15 1999
 
AT 1 PM EST...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE WATCH ARE
DISCONTINUED FOR JAMAICA.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH COASTS OF HAITI AND THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.  A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PUERTO
RICO AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS LATER TODAY.
 
AT 1 PM EST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LENNY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  74.9 WEST OR ABOUT 250 MILES
...400 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA.
 
LENNY IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST SOUTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH ...22 KM/HR...
AND A MOSTLY EASTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE ESTIMATED NEAR 100 MPH...160
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS IN THE AREA
AND PRELIMINARY REPORTS SUGGEST THAT LENNY MAY BE WEAKENING A
LITTLE.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  25 MILES... 35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO  85 MILES...140 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  983 MB...29.03 INCHES.
  
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG THE PATH OF THE
HURRICANE.  MOST OF THE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS OVER WATER AT THIS
TIME BUT COULD SPREAD ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF HISPANIOLA LATER
TODAY.
 
REPEATING THE 1 PM EST POSITION...14.80 N... 74.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST SOUTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 983 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
4 PM EST.
 
LAWRENCE
  
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