[NCEP Logo] HOME ACTIVE
CYCLONES
FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCPAT5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
BULLETIN                                                            
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   1A       
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL                                   
8 PM EDT THU OCT 28 1999                                            
                                                                    
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION DRIFTING IN THE SOUTHWEST CARIBBEAN SEA...   
                                                             
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE EAST COAST OF
NICARAGUA.                                   
                                                                    
AT 8 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WAS     
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  81.0 WEST OR ABOUT    
185 MILES...300 KM...EAST OF BLUEFIELDS NICARAGUA.        
                                                                    
THE DEPRESSION HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE PAST SEVERAL
HOURS.  A SLOW MOTION TO THE WEST IS EXPECTED TO RESUME LATER
TONIGHT OR TOMORROW.   
                                                                    
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER  
GUSTS.  SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24    
HOURS.                                                              
                                                                    
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE AIR FORCE       
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.       
                                                                    
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS... 
ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS SYSTEM.  THESE RAINS WILL POSE
A SERIOUS THREAT OF FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS. 
                  
REPEATING THE 8 PM EDT POSITION...11.6 N... 81.0 W.  MOVEMENT       
...STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE...1002 MB.                                 
                                                                    
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM EDT.                                                         
      
FRANKLIN                                                            
 
                                                                    
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE    
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT5 AND WMO HEADER WTNT75 KNHC.       
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


Problems?