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HURRICANE JOSE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  13A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 PM AST WED OCT 20 1999

...JOSE MOVING THROUGH THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS WITH 100 MPH
WINDS... 
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MONTSERRAT...BARBUDA...
NEVIS...ST. KITTS...ST. EUSTATIUS...SABA...DUTCH ST. MAARTEN...
ANGUILLA...THE BRITISH AND U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR FRENCH ST. MARTIN AND
ST. BARTHELEMY.
 
AT 8 PM AST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOSE WAS LOCATED BY AN
AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE NEAR LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH...
LONGITUDE  62.7 WEST OR ABOUT 40 MILES...65 KM...SOUTHEAST OF ST.
MAARTEN IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.  
 
JOSE IS MOVING BETWEEN WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17
KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.  THIS MOTION WILL CONTINUE TO BRING THE CORE OF JOSE OVER THE
NORTHWEST PORTION OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL
HOURS.  THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR OR OVER THE
BRITISH AND U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS ON THURSDAY.  WEATHER SHOULD BEGIN
TO  DETERIORATE AS THE HURRICANE APPROACHES.
 
A HURRICANE IS NOT A POINT AND ITS EFFECTS COVER A LARGE AREA. DO
NOT FOCUS ONLY ON THE TRACK.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS ESPECIALLY OVER ISLANDS WITH HIGHER ELEVATIONS.  AT 7 PM...ST.
MAARTEN REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 45 MPH...72 KPH...WITH GUSTS TO
64 MPH...104 KPH.  SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM.
 
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS  990 MB...29.23 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE PATH OF
JOSE.  HIGHER RAINFALL TOTALS ARE POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS.
 
TIDES WILL BE HIGHER THAN NORMAL AND WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE
AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES.
 
REPEATING THE 8 PM AST POSITION...17.6 N... 62.7 W.  MOVEMENT
BETWEEN WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...100 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 990 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 11 PM AST.

GUINEY/PASCH
 
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