HOME	ACTIVE CYCLONES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCPAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
HURRICANE JOSE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  11A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 AM AST WED OCT 20 1999

...JOSE OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...ALL PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED
TO COMPLETION...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR...DOMINICA...THE
SURROUNDING ISLANDS...MONTSERRAT...ANTIGUA...BARBUDA... 
NEVIS...ST. KITTS...ST EUSTATIUS...SABA...DUTCH ST MAARTN...
ANGUILLA...THE BRITISH AND U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO.
 
THE FRENCH GOVERNMENT HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR DESIRADE...
FRENCH ST. MARTIN AND ST. BARTHELEMY AND HAS DISCONTINUED THE
HURRICANE WARNING FOR GUADELOUPE AND NEAREST ISLANDS. HOWEVER
...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD SPREAD OVER SOME OF THESE
ISLANDS.
 
INTERESTS IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF JOSE.
 
AT 8 AM AST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  61.1 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES...85
KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ANTIGUA IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.
 
JOSE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
THIS MOTION WILL CONTINUE TO BRING THE CORE OF JOSE NEAR OR OVER THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS TODAY.  WEATHER CONDITIONS IN THESE ISLANDS SHOULD
CONTINUE TO DETERIORATE AS THE HURRICANE APPROACHES.

A HURRICANE IS NOT A POINT AND ITS EFFECTS COVER A LARGE AREA.
DO NOT FOCUS ONLY ON THE TRACK.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  90 MPH...150 KM/HR...MAINLY OVER A
SMALL AREA NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER...WITH HIGHER GUSTS ESPECIALLY
OVER ISLANDS WITH HIGHER ELEVATIONS.  SOME FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 115 MILES...185 KM.
 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS
983 MB...29.02 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE PATH OF
JOSE.  HIGHER RAINFALL TOTALS ARE POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS.
 
TIDES WILL BE HIGHER THAN NORMAL AND WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE
AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES.
 
REPEATING THE 8 AM AST POSITION...16.7 N... 61.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 90 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 983 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 AM AST.
 
AVILA
 
NNNN