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TROPICAL STORM HARVEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  9A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 AM EDT TUE SEP 21 1999

...HARVEY BRINGING HEAVY RAINS... 

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LONGBOAT KEY ON THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST TO SEBASTIAN INLET ON THE FLORIDA EAST
COAST...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE...THE DRY TORTUGAS...THE FLORIDA
KEYS...FLORIDA BAY AND THE FLORIDA STRAITS.  A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND AND THE ABACOS IN
THE NORTHERN BAHAMAS.
  
AT 8 AM EDT...1200Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.8 WEST OR
ABOUT 70 MILES..SOUTHWEST OF FT MYERS FLORIDA.
 
HARVEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST SOUTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH. HARVEY IS
EXPECTED TO TURN TO THE EAST LATER TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  50 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  LITTLE
CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  HARVEY IS
NOT WELL ORGANIZED...WITH NEARLY ALL OF THE RAIN AND STRONG WINDS
LOCATED TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.  LITTLE WEATHER
ACCOMPANIES THE ACTUAL CENTER.  GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE HAVE
BEEN REPORTED BY AUTOMATED STATIONS IN THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES MOSTLY
EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
 
AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT REPORTED A MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE OF  996 MB...29.41 INCHES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...AND
UP TO 6 FEET AT THE HEADS OF BAYS...ARE POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE
SOUTH OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST.
 
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND TO THE SOUTH OF THE PATH OF HARVEY. 
SEE STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES
FOR FLOOD WATCHES AND WARNINGS.
 
A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY.
 
REPEATING THE 8 AM EDT POSITION...26.0 N...82.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST-SOUTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 996 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 AM EDT.
 
AVILA
 
 
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