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TROPICAL STORM DENNIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  47A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1 PM EDT SAT SEP 04 1999

...DENNIS COTNINUES MARCHING TOWARD THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST...
 
HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA
BORDER TO SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND
ABLEMARLE SOUNDS.
 
TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT NORTH OF THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CHINCOTEAGUE VIRGINIA...INCLUDING
CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF SMITH POINT.
 
AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DENNIS
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 34.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.8 WEST
OR ABOUT 60 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.
THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 65 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF MOREHEAD CITY NORTH
CAROLINA. 
 
DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR  9 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS COURSE...THE CENTER OF DENNIS
WILL CROSS THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT.
CONDITIONS IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA WILL DETERIORATE STEADILY
DURING THE AFTERNOON IN ADVANCE OF THE CENTER.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  65 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE TODAY...AND DENNIS COULD BECOME A
HURRICANE BEFORE LANDFALL.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES FROM THE
CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  986 MB...29.12 INCHES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER LEVELS ON BAYS ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF THE
WARNING AREA.  LARGE AND DANGEROUS SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH DENNIS ARE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE U.S. EAST COAST.  FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...SEE STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICES.
 
DOPPLER RADAR FROM MOREHEAD CITY...NORTH CAROLINA SHOWS AREAS OF
RAIN SPREADING OVER EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEASTERN
VIRGINIA...WITH ADDITIONAL RAINBANDS APPROACHING THE OUTER BANKS.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...
ARE LIKELY ALONG THE PATH OF DENNIS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA AND SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA TODAY AND TONIGHT.
 
REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...34.4 N... 75.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR  9 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 986 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM
EDT.
 
BEVEN
 
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