HOME	ACTIVE CYCLONES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCPAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN  
HURRICANE BRET INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  14A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
12 AM CDT SUN AUG 22 1999

...BRET...A DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE THREATENING THE COASTS
OF TEXAS AND NORTHERN MEXICO...
 
HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FROM LA PESCA MEXICO TO PORT
OCONNOR TEXAS.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN
EFFECT ALONG THE TEXAS COAST FROM EAST OF PORT OCONNOR TO FREEPORT.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LA PESCA SOUTHWARD TO
TUXPAN MEXICO.
 
AT 12 AM CDT...0500Z...HURRICANE BRET WAS CENTERED NEAR LATITUDE
25.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.3 WEST  OR ABOUT 135 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST
OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.
 
BRET IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST AND WEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 6 TO 12 HOURS.  HOWEVER...IF THIS
TURN DOES NOT MATERIALIZE SOON...HURRICANE WARNINGS WILL HAVE TO BE
EXTENDED NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE TEXAS COAST.  RESIDENTS AND LOCAL
OFFICIALS WILL NEED TO BE READY TO TAKE QUICK ACTIONS.
  
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  BRET IS A DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE.  SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE
LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 100 MILES...160 KM.
 
LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE
HUNTER PLANE WAS 952 MB...28.11 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 8 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE PATH
OF THE HURRICANE.  EVEN HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE DEPENDING ON THE
SPEED OF MOTION OF THE HURRICANE.
 
ONSHORE WINDS NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE
COAST ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM SURGE COASTAL FLOODING OF UP TO
10 TO 15 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS...WITH HIGHER
VALUES AT THE HEADS OF BAYS. 

FOR LOCAL INFORMATION...SEE STATEMENTS BEING ISSUED BY NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN YOUR AREA.
 
REPEATING THE 12 AM CDT POSITION...25.4 N... 95.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 952 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM
CDT...SUNDAY.
 
PASCH
 
NNNN