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TROPICAL DEPRESSION KATRINA PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM EST SUN OCT 31 1999
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 PM EST...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  89.4 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL
MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1PM EST WED NOV  3 1999
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
22.4N  89.9W      34  1  1  X 36   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X 12 12
25.0N  87.8W       X 27  4  X 31   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X 10 10
27.5N  84.0W       X  X 20  5 25   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  7  7
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  4  1  5   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  4  4
MUAN 219N 850W     X  5  1  X  6   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  3  3
MMCZ 205N 869W     8  2  X  X 10   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  2  2
MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  2  2   KEY WEST FL        X  X  8  3 11
MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  2  2   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X 10  8 18
MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  4  4   FT MYERS FL        X  X 11  9 20
MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  6  6   VENICE FL          X  X 13  9 22
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  1 12 13   TAMPA FL           X  X 10 12 22
MMMD 210N 897W    65  X  X  X 65   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  8 14 22
BERMUDA            X  X  X  2  2   ST MARKS FL        X  X  7 13 20
MARATHON FL        X  X  6  4 10   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X 12  9 21
MIAMI FL           X  X  4 10 14   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X 11  8 19
W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  3 13 16   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  8  5 13
FT PIERCE FL       X  X  3 15 18   MOBILE AL          X  X  6  2  8
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  2 18 20   GULFPORT MS        X  X  6  1  7
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  2 19 21   BURAS LA           X  X  9  X  9
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  1 19 20   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  4  1  5
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X 17 17   GULF 29N 85W       X  X 16  7 23
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X 16 16   GULF 29N 87W       X  X 18  2 20
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X 15 15   GULF 28N 89W       X  4 15  X 19
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X 14 14   GULF 28N 91W       X  3  5  X  8
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X 14 14
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1PM MON TO  1AM TUE
C FROM  1AM TUE TO  1PM TUE
D FROM  1PM TUE TO  1PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
GUINEY
 
 
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