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HURRICANE IRENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SAT OCT 16 1999
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  80.1 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT TUE OCT 19 1999
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
30.9N  79.4W      32  X  X  X 32   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  9  9
33.2N  78.5W       3 12  1  1 17   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  9  9
36.0N  76.0W       X  2  7  3 12   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  9  9
MYNN 251N 775W     X  1  1  X  2   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  8  8
MYGF 266N 787W    82  X  X  X 82   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  8  8
BERMUDA            X  X  X  3  3   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  6  6
MIAMI FL           2  1  1  X  4   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  5  5
W PALM BEACH FL   99  X  X  X 99   ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  5  5
FT PIERCE FL      99  X  X  X 99   MONCTON NB         X  X  X  3  3
COCOA BEACH FL    99  X  X  X 99   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  5  5
DAYTONA BEACH FL  56  X  X  X 56   HALIFAX NS         X  X  X  3  3
JACKSONVILLE FL   24  1  X  X 25   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  2  2
SAVANNAH GA       12  7  X  X 19   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  X  2  2
CHARLESTON SC      6 11  1  X 18   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  2  X  X  2
MYRTLE BEACH SC    1 13  1  1 16   FT MYERS FL        2  2  X  X  4
WILMINGTON NC      X 10  3  1 14   VENICE FL          3  2  X  X  5
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  6  5  2 13   TAMPA FL          27  X  X  X 27
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  3  6  3 12   CEDAR KEY FL      15  X  X  1 16
NORFOLK VA         X  1  7  3 11   ST MARKS FL        2  4  1  X  7
OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  5  6 11   APALACHICOLA FL    1  1  1  X  3
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  3  7 10   PANAMA CITY FL     X  1  1  X  2
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  1  9 10   GULF 29N 85W       X  2  X  X  2
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  9  9
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
C FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
D FROM  2AM MON TO  2AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
BEVEN/GUINEY
 
 
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