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HURRICANE IRENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT FRI OCT 15 1999
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  82.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT MON OCT 18 1999
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
26.5N  82.2W      45  X  X  X 45   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  3  3
28.2N  82.0W      13 14  1  1 29   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  2  2
30.5N  81.5W       X  8 11  2 21   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  2  2
MUHA 230N 824W    99  X  X  X 99   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  3  3
MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  X  2  2   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  2  2
MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  2  2   KEY WEST FL       99  X  X  X 99
MYNN 251N 775W     X  1  X  2  3   MARCO ISLAND FL   52  X  X  X 52
MYGF 266N 787W     6  4  1  2 13   FT MYERS FL       42  X  X  X 42
MARATHON FL       63  X  X  X 63   VENICE FL         35  2  X  X 37
MIAMI FL          27  1  X  X 28   TAMPA FL          17 13  X  X 30
W PALM BEACH FL   22  2  X  X 24   CEDAR KEY FL       2 20  3  X 25
FT PIERCE FL      17  6  X  1 24   ST MARKS FL        X  9 10  2 21
COCOA BEACH FL     9 13  1  X 23   APALACHICOLA FL    X 10  8  2 20
DAYTONA BEACH FL   1 17  4  1 23   PANAMA CITY FL     X  6  9  2 17
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  8 11  2 21   PENSACOLA FL       X  1  7  4 12
SAVANNAH GA        X  1 12  5 18   MOBILE AL          X  X  4  5  9
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  8  8 16   GULFPORT MS        X  X  2  6  8
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  4 10 14   BURAS LA           X  X  2  4  6
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  2 10 12   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  1  4  5
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  1  9 10   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  X  3  3
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  9  9   GULF 29N 85W       1 15  3  2 21
NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  9  9   GULF 29N 87W       X  4  7  3 14
OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  7  7   GULF 28N 89W       X  1  2  4  7
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  6  6   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  X  3  3
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  5  5   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  X  2  2
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  4  4
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
C FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
D FROM  2AM SUN TO  2AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
BEVEN/GUINEY
 
 
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