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TROPICAL STORM IRENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT WED OCT 13 1999
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  83.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT SAT OCT 16 1999
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
20.0N  84.5W      57  X  X  X 57   SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  4  4
21.5N  84.5W      31  4  X  X 35   CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  2  2
23.0N  84.5W       5 19  2  1 27   KEY WEST FL        X  X  6  8 14
MKJS 185N 779W     X  X  X  2  2   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  2 10 12
MWCG 193N 814W     5  4  1  2 12   FT MYERS FL        X  X  2 10 12
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X  3  3   VENICE FL          X  X  2 11 13
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  4  6 10   TAMPA FL           X  X  1 10 11
MUSN 216N 826W     8  9  2  2 21   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X 10 10
MUHA 230N 824W     X  7  7  3 17   ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  9  9
MUAN 219N 850W    23 10  X  X 33   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  1  9 10
MMCZ 205N 869W     5  7  2  2 16   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  1  9 10
MHNJ 165N 859W     X  X  X  2  2   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  8  8
MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  4  4   MOBILE AL          X  X  X  7  7
MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  4  4   GULFPORT MS        X  X  X  6  6
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  5  5   BURAS LA           X  X  X  6  6
MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  1  3  4   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  X  5  5
MARATHON FL        X  X  3  9 12   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  X  2  2
MIAMI FL           X  X  1  8  9   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  2 10 12
W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  8  8   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  2  9 11
FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  8  8   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  2  7  9
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  8  8   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  X  5  5
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  7  7   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  X  2  2
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  6  6
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
C FROM  8PM THU TO  8AM FRI
D FROM  8AM FRI TO  8AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
AVILA
 
 
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