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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN SPECIAL PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM CDT SUN SEP 19 1999
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM CDT...1000Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  88.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1AM CDT WED SEP 22 1999
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
26.2N  88.2W      42  X  X  X 42   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  5  5
27.5N  87.4W      17  6  1  1 25   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  4  4
28.5N  85.5W       2 10  7  2 21   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  2  2
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X  3  3   KEY WEST FL        X  X  1  8  9
MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  X  3  3   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  2 10 12
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  1  5  6   FT MYERS FL        X  X  3 10 13
MUAN 219N 850W     X  1  1  2  4   VENICE FL          X  1  5  8 14
MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  2  2   TAMPA FL           X  X  6 10 16
MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  4  4   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  8  9 17
MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  5  5   ST MARKS FL        X  1 11  6 18
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  9  9   APALACHICOLA FL    X  5 11  3 19
MARATHON FL        X  X  1  7  8   PANAMA CITY FL     X  6 11  3 20
MIAMI FL           X  X  X  9  9   PENSACOLA FL       X 10  8  1 19
W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X 11 11   MOBILE AL          1 10  5  2 18
FT PIERCE FL       X  X  1 11 12   GULFPORT MS        1 11  4  1 17
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  1 12 13   BURAS LA           5 11  2  X 18
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  2 12 14   NEW ORLEANS LA     2  9  2  1 14
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  2 13 15   NEW IBERIA LA      1  3  2  1  7
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  1 13 14   GULF 29N 85W       1  6 10  3 20
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X 12 12   GULF 29N 87W       4 13  4  1 22
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X 10 10   GULF 28N 89W      16  6  1  1 24
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  9  9   GULF 28N 91W       8  5  1  X 14
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  7  7   GULF 28N 93W       1  1  1  X  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1AM MON TO  1PM MON
C FROM  1PM MON TO  1AM TUE
D FROM  1AM TUE TO  1AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
BEVEN
 
 
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