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HURRICANE FLOYD PROBABILITIES NUMBER  23
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST MON SEP 13 1999
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF FLOYD WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  70.6 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST THU SEP 16 1999
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
24.8N  75.0W      47  1  X  X 48   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  7  7
25.8N  77.2W       7 27  1  X 35   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  4  4
27.5N  79.0W       X  7 18  1 26   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  2  2
MYMM 224N 730W    33  X  X  X 33   KEY WEST FL        X  X  4  2  6
MYSM 241N 745W    50  X  X  X 50   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  9  3 12
MYEG 235N 758W    24  5  X  1 30   FT MYERS FL        X  X  9  5 14
MYAK 241N 776W     3 20  1  X 24   VENICE FL          X  X  6  7 13
MYNN 251N 775W     4 26  1  X 31   TAMPA FL           X  X  6  9 15
MYGF 266N 787W     X 16 12  X 28   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  3 12 15
MARATHON FL        X  1  6  2  9   ST MARKS FL        X  X  X 13 13
MIAMI FL           X  3 14  1 18   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  X 11 11
W PALM BEACH FL    X  3 17  1 21   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  X 10 10
FT PIERCE FL       X  1 18  2 21   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  7  7
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X 16  4 20   MOBILE AL          X  X  X  5  5
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X 10  9 19   GULFPORT MS        X  X  X  3  3
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  3 14 17   BURAS LA           X  X  X  2  2
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  1 14 15   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  X  2  2
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X 13 13   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  X 10 10
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X 10 10   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  5  5
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
C FROM  2PM TUE TO  2AM WED
D FROM  2AM WED TO  2AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
GUINEY
 
 
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