HOME	ACTIVE CYCLONES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE FLOYD PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SAT SEP 11 1999
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF FLOYD WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  61.6 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST TUE SEP 14 1999
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
23.3N  64.4W      48  X  X  X 48   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  1 10 11
24.0N  66.5W      20  8  1  X 29   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  9  9
24.5N  69.0W       X 15  5  2 22   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X 10 10
MDSD 185N 697W     X  X  X  2  2   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  X  7  7
MTPP 186N 724W     X  X  X  2  2   MARATHON FL        X  X  X  3  3
MTCA 183N 738W     X  X  X  2  2   MIAMI FL           X  X  X  4  4
MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  X  5  5   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X  5  5
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X  5  5   FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X  4  4
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X  2  2   COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  3  3
MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  1  4  5   DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  2  2
MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  5  6 11   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  2  2
MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  3  9 12   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X  2  2
MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  2 12 14   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
C FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
D FROM  2AM MON TO  2AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
GUINEY
 
 
NNNN