HOME	ACTIVE CYCLONES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE DENNIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER  25
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SUN AUG 29 1999
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  77.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT WED SEP  1 1999
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
34.7N  75.2W      29  1  X  X 30   OCEAN CITY MD      X  7  3  3 13
35.5N  73.5W       9  7  1  1 18   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  4  3  4 11
36.0N  72.0W       1  8  3  3 15   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  1  4  4  9
MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  2  2   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  3  5  8
BERMUDA            X  X  1  3  4   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  2  5  7
SAVANNAH GA        X  1  X  1  2   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  2  5  7
CHARLESTON SC     28  X  X  X 28   HYANNIS MA         X  X  2  4  6
MYRTLE BEACH SC   60  X  X  X 60   BOSTON MA          X  X  1  5  6
WILMINGTON NC     45  X  X  X 45   PORTLAND ME        X  X  1  3  4
MOREHEAD CITY NC  36  X  X  X 36   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  3  3
CAPE HATTERAS NC  23  1  1  X 25   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  2  2
NORFOLK VA         4  8  2  1 15   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
C FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
D FROM  8PM TUE TO  8PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
GUINEY
 
 
NNNN